On the Republican side, Tom Foley
is refusing to debate other Republicans running for governor. Mr. Foley has a
sizable edge over his Republican competitors in recent polls.
On the Democratic side, Governor
Dannel Malloy only recently announced he was running for re-election. Previous
to his announcement, Mr. Malloy, like President Barack Obama a perpetual
campaigner, had been using his bully pulpit to gain an advantage over his
Republican opponents; among political cognoscenti, this is known as “running
for re-election.” Campaign “white lies” have become much dirtier over the years
-- c.f. Governor Lowell Weicker: Instituting an income tax would be like
“pouring gas on a fire.”
Asked why he should not give up the
pretense and just announce he was running for re-election, Mr. Malloy showed
his campaign hand. He said he wanted to give the Republicans sufficient time to
beat up on each other. That is what a primary contest is: a friendly wrestling
match among political compatriots that permits enemy combatants to gain a
political advantage. Mr. Foley, the only Republican in the race who had
previously engaged Mr. Malloy in a gubernatorial campaign, likely read the item
in a newspaper and determined – not this time.
In his first campaign against Mr.
Malloy, Mr. Foley actually acquired more major party votes than Mr. Malloy.
Votes trickling down from Connecticut’s Working Families Party, the political
arm of the state’s employee unions, secured the contest in Mr. Malloy’s favor.
Apart from ideological constraints – Mr. Malloy is a card carrying progressive
-- this is one of the reasons Mr. Malloy has been partial to unions during his
first term in office.
There are positives and negatives
involved in what appears to be Mr. Foley’s decision not to engage his fellow
Republicans in pre-general election fisticuffs. And some of the positives are
also negatives.
By refusing to debate his fellow
Republicans apart from delegate forums, Mr. Foley avoids unnecessary inter-party bruising and enters the
contest with Mr. Malloy, assuming Mr. Foley emerges from the Republican Party
nominating convention as his party’s choice for governor, relatively unscathed;
the YouTube clips showing one Republican denouncing another as a weak opponent
can be inconvenient in a general election.
And of course, all slopes are
slippery slopes in political campaigns. Some people “misspeak,” others lie. During
the U.S. Senate contest against Republican Party nominee Linda McMahon, a New
York Times reporter discovered a clip showing the sainted Dick Blumenthal
asserting, or devilishly suggesting, that he had served as a marine in Vietnam,
when in fact he was safe in Washington D.C. delivering Toys for D.C. Tots –
this after Mr. Blumenthal had obtained five deferments from 1965 to 1970 that
allowed him, according to the Times “to complete his studies
at Harvard; pursue a graduate fellowship in England; serve as a special
assistant to The Washington Post’s publisher, Katharine Graham; and
ultimately take a job in the Nixon White House.”
In a senatorial candidate less
lauded over the years by Connecticut media, these disclosures might have
brought Mr. Blumenthal’s long career in politics to an abrupt end. Today the
several “misspeaking” clips serve only as a reminder that publicity is a double
edged sword. Exposure can be both a curse and a blessing.
Mr. Malloy, first elected governor
in 2010, will have been exposed in office for four years by the time the 2014
general election rolls around. Republicans are determined that the general
election should pivot on Mr. Malloy’s first term in office and Connecticut’s
distressed condition. Stumping at the
New England State Council of Machinists' annual conference in Groton recently,
Mr. Malloy, relying on potboiler progressivism, told the assembled machinists,
“Two things are going on. Number one, unions built the middle class in
America … Number two, the middle class is under attack."
It is no secret that Mr. Foley will
be attempting to convince a majority of Connecticut voters that non-union
middle class workers in Connecticut have been under remorseless attack by the
Malloy administration ever since he first unfurled his “shared sacrifice”
banner early in 2010 and then proceeded to hammer a vanishing middle class with
the largest broad based tax increase in the state’s history. Most Republican
gubernatorial candidates already have shown this card on their table.
Mr. Foley’s hand to date remains
hidden, and a hidden campaign also presents difficulties. In politics, you
can’t beat something with nothing. Candidates who float info office without
first presenting to the general public a plan of action, lose a mandate to
govern. Campaigns are important because they enlist citizens in a common endeavor
and are, perhaps more importantly, public affirmations of a candidate’s plan of
action. Easy wins lead ineluctably to easily dismembered administrations. The
best laid plans of politicians are often torn asunder because they neglect to
present them coherently during campaigns.
The polls so far suggest that it is
possible for Mr. Foley to prevail over Mr. Malloy, but whether or not Mr. Foley
can govern well is a matter that properly should be determined in an open and
honest campaign.
Comments
After that, who knows? We live in an entirely different political environment than we did 4 years ago.
I can say this, though; Malloy is toast.
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My sensible policies will bring fiscal order to our state, create good paying jobs for working families, restore our cities, improve our business climate, and return honor and integrity to state government. - See more at: http://www.tomfoleyct.com/#sthash.fwUTKuUv.dpuf
But another key one the who will replace Napier as State Treasurer. Just as important a race.