Govern Dannel Malloy’s State of the State message gave
little indication of his plans for the future. From a budgetary or strategic
planning point of view, there wasn’t much “there” there, but the speech
evidentially was framed for a national audience.
Everyone who has made a speech on any topic will tell you
that the substance of a speech is determined in large part by the nature of
your audience. One report indicated that the address was, compared with other
state of the state addresses, a bit out of the box; other governors have used
the occasion to map out a plan of governance for the new legislative session,
and Mr. Malloy didn’t. On the other hand, he felt compelled to say something about
Sandy Hook, a national and even international story. On Sandy Hook, he should be telling the
legislature not to be precipitous; wait for the investigation to be
completed. He may be doing that, but one
never knows what goes on behind closed doors.
Does any of this indicate that Mr. Malloy is making himself
available for a spot in Washington?
No one knows. My own crystal ball is in the shop for
repairs, but there has been some speculation about Mr. Malloy’s political strategy
during the current legislative session, which began on January 9.
During his first term, Mr. Malloy raised taxes massively. The
progressive wing of his party, those in Connecticut who have a stake in ever
increasing spending, cheered him on from the sidelines. When deficits
repeatedly appeared, Mr. Malloy quite publically took the pledge: No new taxes.
He said several times on the post-election stump he would not raise taxes to
liquidate a deficit of about half a billion dollars. He didn’t.
During a special session called to address the deficit,
renamed by Mr. Malloy “a shortfall, the governor reached out to Republican
leaders he had earlier spurned when crafting his first budget. Together, along
with majority Democrats in the General Assembly, across the board cuts were
applied, but a much larger $2 billion deficit must be addressed this fiscal
year. Additional cuts likely would not be possible without Republican support
in the General Assembly. Some Republican leaders, following the special session
cuts, appear to be quite willing to let bygones be bygones. Having been frozen
out of the smoke filled back room during Mr. Malloy’s first term, Republican
leaders in the general Assembly were exceedingly grateful the governor included
them in the special session -- the chop, chop session. Democrats, most of whom would
like to hold the line on spending cuts, appeared to be suffering from a
pronounced case of agita. Did Mr. Malloy intend to stiff them in the new session,
they may have wondered.
The Democrats whose nerves are frayed belong to the progressive
wing of their party and are easily stampeded. We sometimes forget that the
Democratic Party here in Connecticut does have a middle; it’s easy to forget --
especially during the Malloy administration when, for the first time in more
than 20 years, both houses of the General Assembly and the governor’s office
have been claimed by Democrats. Contrary to media opinion, the Republican Party
in the state is all middle. Here and there, a conservative or two – there
cannot be more than a fist full in the General Assembly – opposes a
post-Keynesian piece of foolishness and immediately the entire party is
denounced by the state’s left of center media as dangerously ideological.
The reality is nearly the opposite. The capture by Democrats
of the two houses of Connecticut tripartite government has given us the most
progressive administration Connecticut has seen since former governor Wilber
Cross hung up his spurs. It should be noted that the third branch of
Connecticut’s government, the courts, always sensitive to political power, is
also up for grabs. Only in comparison with the Malloy administration, acting in
concert with dominant Democrats in the General Assembly, do middle of the road
Republicans appear to be arch conservatives.
Since the modern conservative movement sprang pretty much fully
grown from the brow of Bill Buckley, Connecticut has never elected to office a
conservative governor or a conservative legislature. Indeed, the number of
conservatives in the General Assembly can be counted on the fingers of one
hand.
There is no question that Mr. Malloy is pro-union; also no
question that unions, especially the powerful teachers’ unions, are left of
center political goads that push individual Democrats far to the left. Yet, Mr.
Malloy, courageously in the view of some, proposed a few education reforms that
left an ashen taste in their mouths. To be sure, his most important education efforts
went down to dusty death: Mr. Malloy’s apparently outsized ambition was to link
the salary and status of teachers with measurable performance. In private business, that linkage is
universal; in state and federal government, it is little more than a consummation
devoutly to be wished. But it does say something about Mr. Malloy that he
entered the fray at all. The left wing of the Democratic Party may have some
reason – not much -- to be edgy. Of course, progressives, ever on the hut for
new means of establishing their utopias, are by nature “on the edge.”
On the other hand… Mr. Malloy has positioned himself in such
a way that Republicans may easily be faulted for any cuts in the upcoming
budget which, strategically, would be to Mr. Malloy’s benefit.
Some people may have noticed that what is beneficial to status quo politicians does not always
contribute to the greater good. Progressive influence peddlers interested in
moving politics in Connecticut ever further to the left do not always have the
greater good in mind; they have their own parochial interests in mind. The
opposite of an ideological government is not, some may be surprised to learn, a
non-ideological government. There is no
such animal. The opposite of an ideological government is an anarchy of special
interests, and no special interest spends more than a minute a month
contemplating the greater good. When we see a politician buck powerful interest
groups that surround him, there is some reason to rejoice. This happens usually
because the politician feels in his soul the pull of an idea. In the absence of
ideas, politics is a madhouse of interests.
Now, what is the controlling interest of a free floating
politician? Maintaining his status. Under the skin, all incumbent politicians
are conservatives; everyone wants to continue being what he has been. To
accomplish this aim, the run of the mill politician will pay court to whatever special
interests help him maintain what Aristotle called his “quiddity,” his “whatness,”
his own essence, as he perceives it. There is some indication – slight, but
some – that Mr. Malloy may have an idea or two sloshing around in his head,
which means that he may not be wholly the plaything of special interests –
reason enough for us to rejoice, moderately. Just as dying men sometime slip in
and out of consciousness, so politicians, especially the pragmatic variety,
slip in and out of ideas as advantageous circumstances dictate.
Could Mr. Malloy benefit politically by inviting Republicans
to take part in upcoming budget negotiations?
Republican leaders seem very eager to “have a place at the
table,” as politicians sometimes say. There are two questions: Why involve
Republicans in budget negotiations this time around? And why do Republicans
want to be involved in budget negotiations?
The non-cynical answer to the second question is pretty straightforward.
Republicans want to be involved for the same reason they wanted to be involved
in previous budget negotiations; they want to leave their mark on the budget.
Previously, they were locked out; a tax and spending spree followed. A budget – the national government hasn’t had
one for four years – is a destiny-plan that marks the boundaries of the future.
It also marks the limits of political power. What politician elected to
represent his constituents would not want to be involved in mapping their
future? Mr. Malloy froze out Republicans when producing his first budget
because he needed a sizable, broad based tax increase, and Republicans wanted
spending cuts. Without Republicans in the room, it was an easy matter for Mr.
Malloy in negotiations with unions to strike a deal that then Senator Edith
Prague characterized as so favorable to unions they would be insane to reject
it. To this day, Malloyalists insist that Malloy’s spending cuts were
sufficient. In his state of the state address Mr. Malloy said, “We came together and passed a balanced budget. We
cut more than we added in new revenue.”
Three
misrepresentations in a 17 word self-congratulatory pat on the back may be a
record in political dissimulation. How Republicans in the audience, shown the
door when he budget was being assembled by Mr. Malloy in concert with union representatives,
must have winced at that “we.” The
governor’s first budget very likely has never been in balance, and the notion
that the Malloy administration cut more than it added in revenue doesn’t pass
the “Do you think I was born yesterday?” test.
“It’s not true – nor did they reduce salaries” of state
employees, said Sen. Rob Kane, the ranking Senate Republican member of the
budget-writing appropriations committee.
Some editorial boards appear to be catching on. Here is a
whiff of grapeshot from the Day of New London:
“Yet the governor now finds himself boxed in by some of the
deals he struck to address the $3.5 billion deficit projection he inherited
when elected in November 2010. The Democratic governor did win concessions from
state labor unions, but they came at a hefty price. Workers in place when the
concession deal was signed have been assured they will not be laid off. After a
two-year pay freeze, the deal also provides state workers substantial pay
raises in each of the next three fiscal years.”
Mr. Kane and other Republicans should be viewed as Mr.
Malloy’s spending speed bumps – the spending “firewall,” preceding Republican
governors, has entirely disappeared -- which is why Mr. Malloy did not involve Republican
leaders in the General Assembly in constructing his first perpetually
imbalanced budget. Mr. Malloy wanted to raise taxes and did; Republicans wanted
effective and proportionate cuts in spending. Someone had to leave the
room.
Will things be different in the New Year?
We have Mr. Malloy’s repeated avowals that he has no
intention of raising taxes further. He will need Republican support to realize
savings in his next budget. At some point, Mr. Malloy either will or will not
cross the Rubicon and march on Rome. There are some indications that Mr. Malloy
will not spare Municipalities this time around. When the head of the governor’s
Office of Policy Management, Ben Barns, said offhandedly that cuts to
municipalities would not be taken off the table in upcoming budget plans, members of the Connecticut Conference
of Municipalities (CCM), a body that
represents the state’s municipal officials, began rending their garments and
pouring ashes on their heads. That hint suggests the governor, this time
around, might be serious about spending cuts. As they say in the news business
– We’ll see.
And the real state of the state is?
Bordering on beggary. On the opening day of the legislative
session, the Yankee Institute,
a glowing candle in Connecticut’s dark night, took out full page advertisements
in four major Connecticut newspapers. “We aren’t just doing worse than average,
Executive Director of the Institute Fergus Cullen said, “We are doing the
worst." Here is the Institute’s
list of lasts.
Connecticut’s
List of lasts
- Barron's
rated Connecticut's debt situation as the worst in the country in 2012
- TopRetirements.com
ranked Connecticut as the 2012 worst state for retirement
- The
Institute for Truth in Accounting ranked Connecticut's financial status as
the worst in the nation with a debt burden of $49,000
per taxpayer
- Connecticut's
credit quality was ranked 50th in the nation by Conning Inc.'s State of
the States Municipal Credit Research Report in 2012
- Connecticut's
Tax Freedom Day of May 5, 2012 was the latest in the nation according to the Tax Foundation
- Connecticut's
Achievement Gap is the worst in the nation according to the Connecticut
Council for Education Reform
- The
Fiscal Policy Report Card on America's Governors by the Cato Institute gave Malloy an "F"
"On the first day of the Legislative Session,” said Mr.
Cullen, “we are calling on the General Assembly to address the state's
financial challenges by reducing spending and adopting pro-growth tax policies
to move Connecticut from last to first."
It
really is becoming difficult to keep the bad news under your hat.
Comments
They need a scape goat. One papers like the New London Day will gladly give them.